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Baseball

Baseball


Two Plus-Money Overs, A Buy-Low Situation and Some Numbers Worth Debating Tonight.

Two Plus-Money Overs, A Buy-Low Situation and Some Numbers Worth Debating Tonight.

The data behind today's slate — where the edge is real, where I'm hesitating and why.

LockSimple

May 13, 2026

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5 min read

The Board Has a Clear Sharp Play, Some Interesting Tension and Two Numbers I Won't Touch Tonight.

The Board Has a Clear Sharp Play, Some Interesting Tension and Two Numbers I Won't Touch Tonight.

One line set for the wrong matchup, a handful of cautions worth understanding and two Danger Zone numbers that are making me step back entirely.

LockSimple

May 12, 2026

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6 min read

The Trends Lied This Weekend (Here's What I'm Actually Using Instead)

The Trends Lied This Weekend (Here's What I'm Actually Using Instead)

When your most reliable edges break down in the same 48 hours, it's time to zoom out — and the data I'm using to do that is now available to you.

May 11, 2026

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6 min read

The Board Doesn't Lie — But The Weekend Did

The Board Doesn't Lie — But The Weekend Did

Trends that held all season finally cracked. Here's what that means for today's K props — and why it's an all-Caution Zone board.

LockSimple

May 11, 2026

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5 min read

Stop Betting Strikeout Props Without This

Stop Betting Strikeout Props Without This

The one research step that separates sharp K prop bettors from the rest

May 9, 2026

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1 min read

Your K Board is here — and it changes everything about strikeout props

Your K Board is here — and it changes everything about strikeout props

All 30 lineups ranked. Red means fade. Green means attack. Let's get into it.

LockSimple

May 9, 2026

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2 min read

There's a Pitcher Starting Tonight Whose Number Is Set for the Wrong Matchup. Here's the Free Look.

There's a Pitcher Starting Tonight Whose Number Is Set for the Wrong Matchup. Here's the Free Look.

A sell-high spot hiding in plain sight, a Trinity Analytics collab and everything worth knowing before Friday's first pitch.

May 8, 2026

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9 min read

It's a Friday Night Slate and the Board Is Giving Us Real Edges to Work With.

It's a Friday Night Slate and the Board Is Giving Us Real Edges to Work With.

Day games, clear matchup data and a Caution Zone noon game I want to like more than I do — here's everything worth knowing today.

LockSimple

May 8, 2026

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7 min read

Afternoon Baseball Is Where the Edge Hides. Today's Board Has Three Spots Worth Knowing About.

Afternoon Baseball Is Where the Edge Hides. Today's Board Has Three Spots Worth Knowing About.

Why day games create pricing gaps the books don't always close — and how to find them before first pitch.

May 7, 2026

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7 min read

Three Sharp Zone Plays on an Afternoon-Heavy Slate. Here's the Full Board.

Three Sharp Zone Plays on an Afternoon-Heavy Slate. Here's the Full Board.

Day games, clear matchup data and a Caution Zone noon game I want to like more than I do — here's everything worth knowing today.

LockSimple

May 7, 2026

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5 min read

Yesterday Was a Good Day. Here's What Happened — and How to Replicate It.

Yesterday Was a Good Day. Here's What Happened — and How to Replicate It.

3-for-3 on K props, 5-for-5 in Hit Streak Survivor and the process behind all of it.

May 6, 2026

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8 min read

Sharp Plays Tonight, A Few Traps and Some Numbers That Are Doing Something Suspicious.

Sharp Plays Tonight, A Few Traps and Some Numbers That Are Doing Something Suspicious.

How to read a Wednesday slate that looks straightforward but isn't — and where the real edge is hiding.

LockSimple

May 6, 2026

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6 min read

This Is the Pitcher I'd Build Tonight's Slate Around. And He's at Almost Even Money.

This Is the Pitcher I'd Build Tonight's Slate Around. And He's at Almost Even Money.

When a home ace is averaging 8 strikeouts per start and the matchup makes it even better — that's where the edge lives.

May 5, 2026

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7 min read

The Board Is Back and There Are Some Numbers Tonight That Are Hard to Ignore.

The Board Is Back and There Are Some Numbers Tonight That Are Hard to Ignore.

A home ace averaging 8 Ks per start, a rematch I like in plus money and a few unders with matching data on both sides of the matchup — here's everything worth knowing tonight.

LockSimple

May 5, 2026

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5 min read

Ariel's at the Stadium. Jared's Got You Covered.

Ariel's at the Stadium. Jared's Got You Covered.

Trinity Analytics takes over today's board — and they came with receipts.

May 3, 2026

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3 min read

The Dodgers Are the Best Strikeout Prop Target in Baseball Right Now. Here's the Data That Proves It.

The Dodgers Are the Best Strikeout Prop Target in Baseball Right Now. Here's the Data That Proves It.

One month into the season, the lineup trends are locked in — and if you're not using them, you're leaving edge on the table.

May 1, 2026

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10 min read

It's Friday Night Baseball. The Board Has Some Gems — And a Few Traps Hiding in Plain Sight.

It's Friday Night Baseball. The Board Has Some Gems — And a Few Traps Hiding in Plain Sight.

Afternoon overs, evening unders, a plus-money home ace and the most confusing number on the slate — it's all here.

LockSimple

May 1, 2026

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6 min read

I Tracked Every K Prop This Season. Here's What the Data Says — Free.

I Tracked Every K Prop This Season. Here's What the Data Says — Free.

One month in, 30 lineups ranked. This is the cheat sheet I wish I had on Opening Day.

Apr 30, 2026

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3 min read

The Only 2026 K Prop Rankings You Need

The Only 2026 K Prop Rankings You Need

Every lineup. Every split. Every start tracked — now ranked so you can stop guessing which strikeout props are worth your money.

LockSimple

Apr 30, 2026

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2 min read

I Went Through Tonight's Board. Here's What Actually Stood Out.

I Went Through Tonight's Board. Here's What Actually Stood Out.

Sharp edges, a plus-money home ace and the number I can't figure out — here's your head start before first pitch

Apr 29, 2026

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7 min read

Today's Board Has Something for Every Type of Bettor. Here's How I Read All of It.

Today's Board Has Something for Every Type of Bettor. Here's How I Read All of It.

Afternoon overs, evening unders, a plus-money home ace and the most confusing number on the slate — it's all here.

LockSimple

Apr 29, 2026

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5 min read

Tonight's Board Has Two Plays I Really Like and a Lot I'm Staying Away From.

Tonight's Board Has Two Plays I Really Like and a Lot I'm Staying Away From.

A small Monday card means fewer plays — and more time to go deep on the ones that actually matter.

LockSimple

Apr 28, 2026

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6 min read

The First Thing I Do Every Morning Before I Touch a Single Prop

The First Thing I Do Every Morning Before I Touch a Single Prop

The two-minute process that finds today's best hitter picks — and how I used it to build my Splash Sports lineup right now.

Apr 27, 2026

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6 min read

Short Slate, Full Research. Here's Everything Worth Knowing Tonight.

Short Slate, Full Research. Here's Everything Worth Knowing Tonight.

A small Monday card means fewer plays — and more time to go deep on the ones that actually matter.

LockSimple

Apr 27, 2026

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5 min read

Stop Using Nighttime Stats to Bet Afternoon Games.

Stop Using Nighttime Stats to Bet Afternoon Games.

I built a full day game rankings sheet for today's slate. Here's part of it — and how to use it before first pitch.

Apr 26, 2026

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8 min read

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