🏀 The Prop Queen Newsletter

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Today, we feature K props to watch, MLB fishy lines, Mid Major Matt’s college basketball prop breakdown and edges in the NBA.

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Only basic and premium subscribers can see today’s entire newsletter featuring K props, fishy lines and NBA prop analysis.

About Last Night…

Where the PQ Newsletter was RIGHT:

• Yankees lefty Carlos Rodon went over his 5.5 Ks with 7 punch outs.

• The Yankees-Brewers game went under their total of 8 runs in a 4-2 Yankees win. The Yankees also stayed under 2.5 runs in the first five.

• The Chicago Cubs got the outright win at +110 dogs in Arizona beating the Diamondbacks 10-6.

Where the PQ Newsletter was WRONG:

• Padres starter Michael King did not go over his 5.5 Ks. He had just 3 Ks in 2.2 IP.

MATT’S CORNER

🔥 BETTING TIPS FOR MARCH MADNESS PROPS

OLE MISS VS. MICHIGAN STATE - 7:09 PM ET

Michigan State has two edges in this matchup that I think can be exploited in player props. Sparty has assists in 61.1% of their baskets this season while Ole Miss is allowing assists on 57.4% of the baskets against them. The juice is pricey for Jeremy Fears Jr and for good reason as he's had 5 assists or more in five of his last seven games. I see some value in Tre Holloman whose number is 3.5 which he's gone over in two straight and four of his last six games. 

The Spartans are also one of the best rebounding teams in the country while the Rebels are weak in that area. Iowa State and UNC combined for 22 offensive rebounds against the SEC school so far in the tournament. Jace Richardson's number is 3.5 and he's gone over this in seven of his last nine games. 

MICHIGAN VS. AUBURN - 9:39 PM ET

A lot of people will focus on Tre Donaldson's points prop as he goes up against his former school Auburn on Friday night. There might actually be some value with his assists over as it is plus money on all of the websites. Donaldson has gone over 3.5 assists in seven of his last 10 games. 

PURDUE VS. HOUSTON - 10:09 PM ET

Houston has one of the best defenses in the country, but they are 287th in assists per field goals made on defense. Ryan Nembhard had 11 of Gonzaga's 19 last round while SIUE had 11 assists on their 15 made baskets. Purdue has assists on 57.5% of their baskets so I'm looking at Braden Smith and his 6.5 number. He has the 2nd best assist rate in America and has gone over this in 17 of his last 23 games. 

Matt Josephs - Mid Major Matt
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