Tonight there's a pitcher whose strikeout prop is inflated because of what he's done in his last few starts — all against high-strikeout lineups. Tonight's opponent is not that. The book hasn't adjusted. The data has.

That's a sell-high spot and it's one of the cleanest setups on tonight's board.

I'll give you that one free. Then I want to introduce you to something else happening in today's newsletter — because Friday is the day I collaborate with my partners at Trinity Analytics and their analyst Jared Block to bring you research from outside the K prop world. Advanced metrics, wOBA, xFIP, K:BB ratios — the kind of deep dive that complements what I do every morning and gives you a more complete picture of the slate before you act.

Today that combination is producing some genuinely interesting spots. Here's where we'll start.

Kyle Bradish · RHP · Baltimore · Under 5.5 Ks -110 vs. Oakland Athletics · 7:05 PM ET

Bradish's recent starts have come almost entirely against high-strikeout lineups. The book set 5.5 based on that recent form. Tonight he faces the Athletics — and righties have gone under 5.5 Ks against Oakland in 9 of the last 10 starts.

Here's the part that stands out even more: even in a start against the high-K Yankees this year he only managed 4 Ks. The number tonight is inflated for a matchup that doesn't support it.

That's the Prop Queen Method in action — not just looking at what a pitcher has done, but whether tonight's opponent actually warrants the number the book set.

This is the kind of play that comes from running advanced metrics on every pitcher every day — which is exactly what Jared Block and the Trinity Analytics team do.

Burrows has allowed 3+ earned runs in 5 of 7 starts this season. His numbers against left-handed hitters over the last month are genuinely alarming across every category — a 4.53 xFIP, 0.417 wOBA allowed and a .596 SLG allowed to lefties paint a picture of a pitcher who is getting hit hard.

Tonight he faces a Reds offense that ranks 4th in baseball against righties over the last two weeks and can put 5-6 left-handed bats in the lineup against him.

The matchup is about as unfavorable as it gets for a pitcher trending in the wrong direction. Jared flagged this one this morning and the data behind it is hard to argue with.

This is what the Trinity Analytics collaboration looks like — they bring the advanced metrics, I bring the matchup trends and together we cover more of the slate than either of us could alone.

Four of my five entries survived the first three days of my Splash Hit Streak Survivor contest!

Here's how that happened: I used Props.cash the exact same way I walked through in my YouTube video. Open the hits market, filter to 0.5 line, sort by edge, check the matchup grade.

I made a full YouTube video breaking down exactly how I use Props.cash to make my daily Survivor picks — the filters, the matchup tab, the whole process. If you're in the contest and want to see how I'm approaching it:

It's not a long video. The process is genuinely simple once you see it laid out. And it matters a lot more in the Daily Double format — picking two batters instead of one — because both need to come through.

Use code PROPQUEEN at Props.cash for 50% off your first month if you want to run the same process yourself.

👉 Props.cash — code PROPQUEEN

If you didn't get into the $20K contest in time — there's already a $25K Hit Streak Survivor available right now. Same format, bigger prize pool, fresh start.

Pick one batter per day to get a hit. Survive longer than everyone else. $10K Cycle Jackpot still available. $20 entry.

👉 Join the $25K Hit Streak Survivor here

Today's premium newsletter is one of the fuller ones we've put together — K prop board cut plus the complete Trinity Analytics Friday Building Blocks breakdown with advanced metrics behind every play.

Here's everything waiting on the other side:

✅ 3 Sharp Zone K prop plays — including the full Bradish breakdown above, a road under against the most consistent lefty under matchup in baseball right now and a pitcher who already went over against tonight's opponent once this season and the number still hasn't moved

✅ 2 Caution Zone breakdowns — including a nearly even money under on a pitcher with a tiny sample in his third career start, and a rematch situation within a month that I never love betting the same direction on

✅ 1 Danger Zone season debut — a pitcher whose first start history ranges from 1 K to 10 Ks across three years. Both sides have an argument. I'll tell you which side I lean and why neither is clean

✅ The full Trinity Analytics Friday Building Blocks — five plays with complete advanced metrics including a prospect debut with a 45:15 K:BB ratio in Triple-A, a pitcher getting the best strikeout matchup on the entire slate and a bonus play that only activates if the Giants confirm their starter before first pitch

✅ Links to Trinity Analytics' MLB Triple Play Specials — their full daily card breakdown for subscribers who want the complete research package

✅ Daily access to the Prop Queen Method — every pitcher sorted into Sharp, Caution or Danger with the matchup data behind every call, straight to your inbox every morning