Friday night baseball is back and the slate is actually giving us something to work with. There are a couple of spots I feel good about, a handful where the data points a direction but something is making me hesitate and a few numbers that are going to get hammered by the public tonight for all the wrong reasons. I also have something extra for you today — my partners at Trinity Analytics put together some plays from outside the K prop world that are worth your attention. More on that below. Let's get into it.

Sharp Zone
These are numbers where market logic, matchup data and player usage align.
The edge still exists. These are the cleanest looks on the board.

Caution Zone
The data supports the play, but something is holding me back— prior matchup, recent spike, injury uncertainty or the number itself. These are playable, but you should know why the book is tempting you. Remember, this doesn’t mean no bet, it means maybe the one problem I care about is not something you worry about.

Danger Zone
These are fishy lines. Either too low, too high or sitting where books expect public mistakes. The stats may look great — that’s the trap. These require restraint or smaller exposure.

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