🏈⚾️ The Prop Queen Newsletter

Hi subscribers! This morning I sent out an early look at tonight’s Monday Night Football props to Premium Subscribers. Below, I have listed those props in addition to some more stats to know about tonight’s game via the NFL. I have also added two MLB pitcher props and Matchups to Watch in MLB tonight.

Tonight’s Lions-Ravens game kicks off at 8:15 PM ET in Baltimore. The last time these two played was 2023 and the Ravens destroyed the Lions in Baltimore 38-6. In 2021, the Lions hosted the Ravens and lost 19-17. The line moved against Baltimore this afternoon from 5.5 to 4.5-point favorites. 57% of bets and 73% of handle is on the Ravens. 🎣 🎣 🎣 

REMINDER! Today is the last day of the Props.cash free jersey & 50% off giveaway! All charts in the newsletter below are from Props.cash. It’s a very useful tool for prop betting so I highly recommend taking advantage of this offer!

In today’s newsletter, free subscribers will have access to my best bet in Monday Night Football in addition to some extra stats to know about tonight’s game.

Only basic and premium subscribers can see today’s entire newsletter including:

Quarterback Props

Running Back Props

Wide Receiver Props

MLB Pitcher Props

MLB Matchups to Watch

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 Prop Queen’s Best Bet

BAL TE Mark Andrews Over 17.5 Yards Longest Reception -120

Last year at home, Andrews averaged 19.7 yards per longest catch. He went over in two of three primetime home games last year. Against Detroit, Andrews had a 41 yard catch in 2021 and a 22 yard catch in 2023. Against the Lions this season, Tucker Kraft caught a 15-yard catch and Cole Kmet had a 22-yard catch. With Isaiah Likely possibly coming back next week, this could be the moment for Andrews in primetime at home.

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 MNF Stats

BAL QB Lamar Jackson

Lamar has averaged 10 air yards per attempt, the highest mark of his career. He’s targeted receivers down the field (10+ air yards) at the third-highest rate this season and has thrown a league-leading five touchdowns on such throws.

Lamar has 22 pass touchdowns and 0 interceptions in his career in Monday games. That’s the most pass touchdowns without an interception by any player on a single day of the week all-time.

BAL RB Derrick Henry

Henry is tied for the third-highest explosive run rate among running backs with at least 15 carries (17.2%) although all fiveo f his explosive runs came in week one. Meanwhile, the Lions have allowed an explosive run rate of 8.6% to running backs, the seventh lowest mark in the NFL.

BAL WR Zay Flowers

Through two games, Flowers has the most yards per route (4.4) and the second highest target rate (40.8%) among all receivers with 20+ routes run.

BAL CB Marlon Humphrey

Last season, Humphrey allowed 0.83 yards per snap in coverage when in the slot. That’s the 7th-lowest mark among defenders with at least 100 coverage snaps from the slot. Humphrey has seen a slight uptick in his slot usage (52%) from last year (44.7%). Through two weeks, Humphrey has been targeted seven times when in the slot allowing four receptions for 70 yards and a touchdown.

DET RB Jahmyr Gibbs

Gibbs has been targeted 12 times from the backfield totaling 37 yards on 12 receptions. Since entering the league in 2023, Gibbs has 126 targets out of the backfield for 772 yards. Both of which rank in the top five during that span.

This season, quarterback Jared Goff has targeted receivers out of the backfield on 25.4% of his pass attempts, the fourth highest mark among qualified quarterbacks and higher than any of Goff’s three seasons under offensive coordinator Ben Johnson (2022-2024). Even though the attempts are there, Goff’s 3.5 yards per attempt on such targets is seventh fewest entering week three.

DET Linebackers

Lions linebackers Jack Campbell and Alex Anzalone are tied for 10th among all linebackers with six run stops through two games. In 2024, Campbell’s run stop rate was third highest among all linebackers with 1—+ run defense snaps. Campbell is also tied for the third most run stuffs for a loss or no gain at the position this year.

DET CB Terrion Arnold

Through two games, Arnold has allowed 3.5 yards per snap in coverage, the second most among cornerbacks with at least 25 coverage snaps. He has also been targeted on 29.6% of his snaps in coverage, the highest target rate among that same group of corners.

DET FS Kerby Joseph

Last season, Kerby Joseph had the third lowest passer rating allowed in coverage among safeties. Joseph led the league with nine interceptions last year and already has one while allowing just 12 yards on two receptions this season.

DET Defense

The Lions have relied heavily on man coverage using it on 42.2% of opposing dropbacks (fifth highest). Through two games, Lamar Jackson has completed 18 of 27 passes for 243 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions against man.

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