🏈 The Prop Queen Newsletter

As promised from this morning, below are the Prop Queen edges for tonight’s Sunday Night Football game between the Packers and Cowboys.

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ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 SNF Week 4 Props

DAL QB Dak Prescott Over 35.5 Pass Att -125

Dak went over this in two of three primetime games last year. This season, he’s averaging 42 pass attempts per game. Green Bay has allowed the fifth most pass attempts per game this season (39). With the Cowboys as 6.5-point underdogs, if the Packers take a decent lead, Dallas will have to throw. The Packers are also very good against the run, which could force Dak to throw.

DAL RB Javonte Williams Under 51.5 Rush Yds -120

Williams is averaging 75.7 rushing yards per game this year, but his prop is just 51.5?! Cowboys may have to abandon the run anyway if the Packers take a big lead. Green Bay has allowed the fifth least rushing yards per game to running backs this year (58). Five of the six running backs to face the Packers went under their rushing yards prop this year. Outside of Browns rookie running back Quinshon Judkins, no other back has hit 30 rushing yards against Green Bay.

DAL TE Jake Ferguson Over 17.5 Yards Longest Rec -102

Ferguson had a 19-yard catch in his lone home game this season. He also went over in two of three home primetime games last year. Ferguson hasn’t faced a defense that’s bad against tight ends yet this season. Look at his longest receptions last year against those defenses:

vs. TB LONG 21

vs. CIN LONG 20

vs. BAL LONG 26

GB QB Jordan Love Over 38.5 Yards Longest Pass -120

Love’s gone over this in five of six games since the start of last season when facing a bottom 10 pass D. He went over in two of three road primetime games last year too. The Cowboys are allowing the most passing yards per game to quarterbacks this season, but Love’s passing yards are a bit inconsistent. I’d rather him take one deep shot against a weak secondary and cash this.

GB WR Romeo Doubs Over 18.5 Yards Longest Rec -112

Doubs is the Packers deep threat and is leading the team in big catches. He went over in two of three primetime games last year and both were on the road. Doubs had a 46-yard catch in his last game back in January back in Dallas. The Cowboys have allowed the most receiving yards per game to wide receivers this year. Doubs should take advantage.