⚾️🏈 The Prop Queen Newsletter

Early NFL Props & MLB for September 5th, 2025

Hi subscribers! Below I have props for tonight’s Chiefs-Chargers game in addition to some early lookahead props for this weekend. Since this morning, I’ve added a few pitcher props for tonight in MLB.

All premium subscribers have access to the MLB Prop Spreadsheet as well. This includes strikeout, outs, hits allowed and earned runs props. Access the spreadsheet here. If you want to learn how to use the spreadsheet, you can see the tutorial here.

Make sure to subscribe to the Prop Queen Sports YouTube Page! On tonight’s Prop Queen Pod, Joe Pisapia gave out more NFL props and Mid Major Matt goes all in on college football, MLB and NFL.

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Free subscribers will get access to MLB Matchups to Watch. Only basic and premium subscribers can see today’s entire newsletter including:

Pitchers Props

NFL Props

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 Matchups to Watch

Good Matchups

Trevor Story - .500 (5-10) with 2 2B vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Alex Bregman - .296 (8-27) with 2 2B, 3 HR vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Yandy Diaz - .500 (4-8) with 3 2B vs. Gavin Williams

Brent Rooker - .500 (6-12) with 3 2B, HR vs. Jose Soriano

Shea Langeliers - .500 (5-10) with 2B, 2 HR vs. Jose Soriano

Lawrence Butler - .357 (5-14) with 2B, 2 HR vs. Jose Soriano

Giancarlo Stanton - .296 (8-27) with 2B, 3 HR vs. Kevin Gausman

Paul Goldschmidt - .526 (10-19) with 2B, HR vs. Kevin Gausman

Aaron Judge - .356 (16-45) with 3 2B, 6 HR vs. Kevin Gausman

Ryan McMahon - .357 (5-14) with 3 2B, HR vs. Kevin Gausman

Orlando Arcia - .636 (7-11) with 2B, 2 HR vs. Nick Pivetta

Gunnar Henderson - .556 (5-9) with 2B, 3B, HR vs. Tyler Glasnow

Bad Matchups

Eugenio Suarez - .0-12 with 9 Ks vs. Chris Sale

Cody Bellinger - .091 (2-22) with 9 Ks vs. Kevin Gausman

Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 0-10 with 3 Ks vs. Kevin Gausman

Anthony Volpe - .125 (3-24) with 2 2B, HR, 10 Ks vs. Kevin Gausman

Vinnie Pasquantino - .125 (2-16) with 3 Ks vs. Pablo Lopez

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ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 Pitcher Props

ATL LHP Chris Sale Over 7.5 Ks -121

Mariners at Braves - 7:10 PM ET

Sale went over in six of eight starts against teams with high K rates against lefties. Southpaw starters are 24-15 o/u averaging 5.8 strikeouts per start against Seattle. Phillies starters Suarez, Sanchez and Luzardo all just had 10+ Ks against Seattle.

ARI LHP Eduardo Rodriguez Over 4.5 Ks -140

Red Sox at Diamondbacks - 9:40 PM ET

E-Rod’s gone over in seven of 10 against teams with high K rates against lefties. Those left handers are averaging 5.4 strikeouts per start against Boston with eight of the last 13 lefties going over since the All Star Break.

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 NFL Props

LAC TE Will Dissly Over 15.5 Rec Yds -115

Chiefs vs. Chargers - Tonight at 8:00 PM ET - YouTube

Dissly has cashed this over in all three games against Kansas City dating back to 2022. He’s averaging 20.7 receiving yards in those spots. Last year, Dissly averaged 31.1 receiving yards overall. The Chiefs allowed the most receiving yards per game last year to tight ends allowing 67% of them to go over their receiving yards prop last year.

JAX RB Travis Etienne Over 40.5 Rush Yds -105

Panthers at Jaguars - Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Etienne went over 40.5 rushing yards in five of six home games last year averaging 45.5 rushing yards per game. Last season, Carolina allowed the most rushing yards per game to running backs (148.2). It’s why 69% of backs went over their rushing yards prop last year against the Panthers.

ATL TE Kyle Pitts Over 38.5 Rec Yds -114

Bucs at Falcons - Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Pitts has gone over 38.5 receiving yards in all six games he’s played against the Bucs dating back to 2021. Last year, the Bucs allowed the second most receiving yards per game to tight ends (67.3).

BAL RB Justice Hill Over 14.5 Rec Yds -118

Ravens at Bills - Sunday at 8:20 PM ET

Hill had 78 receiving yards last year in the Ravens regular season matchup with the Bills. He averaged 26.9 receiving yards per game on the road last year going over in five of those nine games. 60% of running backs went over their receiving yards prop last year against Buffalo. The Bills allowed the most receiving yards per game to the position.

BUF QB Josh Allen Over 30.5 Pass Attempts -110

Ravens at Bills - Sunday at 8:20 PM ET

Allen went over 30.5 pass attempts in five of the last six seasons in week one. The Ravens allowed the third most pass attempts per game last year. Being the Ravens fan I am, I know the Bills should attack the Ravens secondary. They always are due to give up some deep shots. The line also flipped from the Bills being -1.5 point favorite to the Ravens -1.5. If the Bills are playing from behind, Allen will have to throw the football.

Ariel Epstein, known as the Prop Queen, turned her passion for fantasy sports and prop betting into a career. After years of working for other media companies and sportsbooks, it’s time to share her knowledge, preparation and analysis with other sports bettors.