🏈 The Prop Queen Newsletter

Let’s end Thanksgiving weekend with a bang. There are 10 games between the 1:00 & 4:00 PM ET slates. Below are props that stood out the most.

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 Cardinals at Bucs

1:00 PM ET

ARI RB Michael Carter Over 13.5 Rec Yds -118

Carter’s hit this over in five of seven games this year. When facing team’s bottom 10 against pass catching backs, he’s racked up 15+ receiving yards in three of those five games dating back to last year. The Bucs have allowed the most receiving yards per game to running backs (54.5) with 67% of running backs going over their receiving yards prop against Tampa.

🔥 Jaguars at Titans

1:00 PM ET

TEN QB Cam Ward Over 33.5 Pass Att -120

Ward’s gone over in four of six home games. When facing teams bottom 10 in pass attempts allowed this season, Ward’s had 33+ in all four games and 38+ pass attempts in three of those four. The Jaguars have allowed the third most pass attempts per game (37.9) with 64% of quarterbacks going over their pass attempts prop against the Jags this year. Plus, this line moved from Jaguars -7 to -5.5. If the Titans play a close game, Ward should be trying to throw the football.

TEN TE Chig Okonkwo Over 22.5 Receiving Yards -115 or 13.5 Yards Longest Reception -115

Against teams bottom 10 against tight ends, Okonkwo has gone over 22.5 receiving four of six games. He’s also gone over in four of six games at home this year AND in games against Jacksonville. The Jags have allowed the fourth most receiving yards per game to tight ends (70.8) with 60% of tight ends going over their receiving yards prop against Jacksonville.

As for Okonkwo’s longest reception prop, when looking at his games against teams bottom 10 against tight ends, he went over 13.5 yards in five of six:

@ DEN 14-yard catch

@ ARI 16-yard catch

vs. SEA 26-yard catch

vs. IND 22-yard catch

@ IND 23-yard catch

Okonkwo only went under against New England in a game he had 0 receiving yards.

JAX WR Brian Thomas Over 20.5 Yards Longest Reception -120

Brian Thomas leads Jags receivers in big catches this year. He’s had a 21+ yard catch in five of his last six games. In his career against the Titans, Thomas has had two 31-yard receptions. Tennessee has allowed the third most receiving yards per game to wide receivers with 60% of receivers going over their longest reception prop against them.

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