⚾️🏈 The Prop Queen Newsletter

Hi subscribers! Due to the Jewish holiday, I will just be sending out one newsletter today.

Below are today’s MLB pitcher props and Matchups to Watch. I also took a snapshot of the NFL lines on Sunday night when games were over and see how lines move early in the week.

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ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 Pitcher Props

TEX LHP Patrick Corbin Over 4.5 Ks +100

Twins at Rangers - 8:05 PM ET

Through 16 games against teams with high strikeout rates against lefties, Corbin went over 4.5 Ks in 11 of them. At home, Corbin had 5+ Ks in six of nine starts when facing strikeout prone lineups. Corbin’s averaging 5.1 strikeouts per home start this season. In his last two starts, he’s allowed just one earned run through 10 innings. Lefties are averaging 5.6 strikeouts per game against the Twins this season with three of the last five going over their K prop.

KC LHP Cole Ragans Over 6.5 Ks -104

Royals at Angels - 9:38 PM ET

Five of the nine lineups Ragans faced this year with high strikeout rates against lefties had 7+ strikeouts against Ragans. I know it’s just his second start off the IL, but he had four strikeouts in 3.2 against Seattle in his first start. The Angels strikeout way more averaging six strikeouts per game against the Angels with lefties going over their K prop in 20 of 27 games.

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 Matchups to Watch

Good Matchups

Matt Chapman - .600 (6-10) with 3 2B vs. Andre Pallante

Kike Hernandez - .444 (4-9) with 2B, HR vs. Brandon Pfaadt

Mookie Betts - .450 (9-20) with 2B, 2 HR vs. Brandon Pfaadt

Bryce Harper - .400 (4-10) with 2 2B, HR vs. Edward Cabrera

Bryson Stott - .357 (5-14) with 2B vs. Edward Cabrera

Jarren Duran - .364 (8-22) with 5 2B and HR vs. Kevin Gausman

Masataka Yoshida - .500 (6-12) with 2 2B, HR vs. Kevin Gausman

Alejandro Kirk - .353 (6-17) with 4 HR vs. Lucas Giolito

Gunnar Henderson - .357 (5-14) with 2B, HR vs. Ryan Pepiot

Jose Ramirez - .324 (11-34) with 3 2B, 3B vs. Tarik Skubal

Bad Matchups

Kyle Schwarber - .125 (2-16) with HR with 5 Ks vs. Edward Cabrera

Zach McKinstry - 0-10 with 4 Ks vs. Gavin Williams

Riley Greene - 0-11 with 5 Ks vs. Gavin Williams

Trevor Story - .103 (3-29) with 2B, 14 Ks vs. Kevin Gausman

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 NFL WEEK 3 LINE MOVES

Line moves for Week 4 in the NFL from Sunday night to Tuesday Morning

MIN at PIT

Sunday at 9:30 AM ET in Dublin, Ireland

Vikings -1.5 ➡️ -2.5

CLE at DET

Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Total Dropped from 45.5 ➡️ 44.5

LAC at NYG

Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Chargers -5.5 ➡️ 6.5

CAR at NE

Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Patriots -4.5 ➡️ -5.5

IND at LAR

Sunday at 4:05 PM ET

Total Moved From 47.5 ➡️ 48.5

JAX at SF

Sunday at 4:05 PM ET

Total Moved From 45.5 ➡️ 46.5

GB at DAL

Sunday Night Football at 8:20 PM ET

Packers -5.5 ➡️ -6.5

Total Moved From 48.5 ➡️ 47.5

NYJ at MIA

Monday Night Football at 7:15 PM ET

Total Moved From 43.5 ➡️ 44.5

CIN at DEN

Sunday Night Football at 8:15 PM ET

Total Moved From 44.5 ➡️ 43.5