🏈🥍 The Prop Queen Newsletter

Hi subscribers! Happy Football Sunday! Below are prop edges for the quarterback, running back and tight end markets!

Free subscribers will get access to the props I gave out on Friday. I will also show a snapshot from Props.cash of their top wide receivers for today. 

Only basic and premium subscribers can see today’s entire newsletter including:

Quarterback Props

Running Back Props

Wide Receiver Prop

Tight End Prop

ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 NFL Props

DET RB Jahmyr Gibbs Over 67.5 Rush Yds -115

Bears at Lions - Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Gibbs didn’t have a great game on the ground last week. He rushed for 19 yards on nine carries against Green Bay. I’m not buying Chicago’s run defense looking improved yet. They faced an aging Aaron Jones and a second string Jordan Mason. Gibbs is younger and faster than both those backs. The Bears allowed the second most rushing yards per game to running backs last year. Gibbs ran for 109 and 87 yards last year against Chicago. He also went over 67.5 rushing yards in all six games he played against bottom 10 run defenses.

ARI RB James Conner Over 63.5 Rush Yds -115

Panthers at Cardinals - Sunday at 4:05 PM ET

It’s a great buy low spot on Conner who only had 39 rushing yards against New Orleans last week. Look at Conner’s numbers last year when facing bottom 10 run defenses:

CAR @ 15-117-TD 

CHI VS. 18-107

NE VS. 16-110-2 TD 

WAS VS. 18-104-TD 

Carolina allowed the most rushing yards per game to running backs last year. They also made Travis Etienne look incredible with 16 carries for 143 yards.

KC TE Travis Kelce Under 53.5 Rec Yds -115

Eagles at Chiefs - Sunday at 4:25 PM ET

This number is already dropping. He had two catches for 47 yards last week. Last year against teams top 10 against tight ends, here were Kelce’s numbers:

@ SF 4 rec 17 yds

vs. HOU 5 rec 30 yds

Against Philly, Kelce’s gone under in three of those last four dating back to 2021. In those games, Kelce had 23, 81, 44 and 39 receiving yards. Keep that in mind with this number dropping. The Eagles allowed the least receiving yards per game to tight ends last year with only 32% of the position hitting the over on their receiving yards props.

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