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Hi subscribers! Below are props for tonight in MLB. Since this morning’s premium newsletter, I’ve included Matchups to Watch and some early looks into the NFL for this weekend.
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ARIEL’S CORNER
🎣 Pitcher Props Fishy Lines
BAL LHP Trevor Rogers Under 5.5 Ks -144
Orioles at Yankees - 7:05 PM ET
I HATE back-to-back starts against the same team for this reason. Rogers just threw a gem against the Yankees in his last start going six innings of one hit shutout baseball with seven strikeouts and two walks. That shouldn’t happen again, hence the juice on the under. Rogers is averaging a full strikeout less on the road this season. Although the Yankees strikeout a lot more against lefties, they’re on a mission for the division and hitting the ball well. I can see the Yankees beating up on Rogers to the point he can’t stay in long enough to hit six strikeouts.
TOR RHP Shane Bieber Under 6.5 Ks -124
Rays at Jays - 7:07 PM ET
I am beyond confused by this number. Bieber has gone under 6.5 Ks in five straight starts and all three at home. 73% of the last 20 right handed pitchers to face the Rays have gone under their strikeout prop. Only one right hander in the last 10 has hit over 6.5 strikeouts. Righties are 49-61 o/u averaging 4.49 strikeouts per game against Tampa this year. 6.5 just seems WAY too high, but why is it so high?!
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