🎄 Big NBA Slate Before the Holiday Break
We’ve got a huge NBA slate tonight before the league goes dark tomorrow for Christmas Eve, so this is one of those spots where context matters just as much as numbers.
I focused on edges created by injuries, matchups, and scheduling — especially teams on back-to-backs where tired legs tend to show up on the defensive end. I stayed away from games with massive spreads (blowout risk) and avoided good defenses on the second leg of a back-to-back.
When teams are tired, I’d much rather fade the defense than force offense — and that’s exactly how this slate sets up.
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ARIEL’S CORNER
Best Bet
🏀 Bulls at Hawks
Hawks -4 | Total: 252.5
🔹 Trae Young OVER 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (-122)
These teams just played Sunday — Chicago won 152–150 — but the context is different tonight.
Dyson Daniels is out
In Trae’s last 10 home games without Daniels, he’s gone over this number 8 times, averaging 13.8 R+A
Graph via Props.cash
Bulls allow the 7th-most rebounds + assists per game
Last meeting: 35 points, 1 rebound, 9 assists — game plan without Daniels changes tonight.
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