This Saturday night in San Francisco isn’t just another divisional matchup — it’s for the #1 seed in the NFC.
Seattle and San Francisco haven’t seen each other since Week 1, when the 49ers went into Seattle and won 17–13. Fast forward to now: everything is on the line, playoff incentives are in play, and the prop market is telling a very specific story. This is one of those games where motivation, matchup history, and trends all collide — so let’s walk through every angle.
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ARIEL’S CORNER
Comparing Props to Playoff Incentives
SEA QB Sam Darnold — Contract Incentives
Sam Darnold is chasing real money in this game:
3 passing TDs → $500K
150 passing yards → $500K
67.5% completion percentage → $500K
Currently at 67.2% completion percentage
Darnold Props:
Over 1.5 Pass TDs (-122) or Over 2.5 Pass TDs (+320)
Over 239.5 Passing Yards (-128)
Over 20.5 Completions (-110)
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