⚾️🏀 The Prop Queen Newsletter

Night Slate MLB & WNBA Props for August 12th, 2025

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ARIEL’S CORNER

🔥 Pitcher Props

WAS LHP Mitchell Parker Over 3.5 Ks +110

Nationals at Royals - 7:40 PM ET

Parker’s gone over 3.5 Ks in 12 of 14 starts against teams with high K rates against lefties. Since the All Star Break, lefty starters punched out 6, 4, 7 and 8 batters. Lefties are 14-8 o/u their K prop averaging 5.3 strikeouts per game against the Royals this year. Their lefty-righty splits are drastic with lefties striking out about two more Royals per game.

SF LHP Robbie Ray Under 5.5 Ks -130

Padres at Giants - 9:45 PM ET

Just like the Blue Jays, betting unders against the Padres is always the play. It’s VERY fishy this line is 5.5 after Ray struck out nine Padres at home back on June 5th. Lefties are 14-22 o/u their K prop averaging 4.1 strikeouts per game against San Diego. Nine of the last 10 southpaw starters to face the Padres went under 5.5 strikeouts. I always say, if something shouldn’t have happened the first time, it won’t happen again the second time. This low 5.5 K prop is indicative of it. Bet the under or stay away. It’s low for a reason.

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