Happy Friday! Earlier, premium subscribers got the morning action for the afternoon slate. Below is information for the night slate. Since college basketball isn’t really “my thing” I have one of my favorite college basketball handicappers Mid Major Matt helping out. (He’s also going to be a HUGE help in the baseball props market).
Odds vs. Seeding Discrepancies
I did this yesterday and I’ll do it again today. Usually a few games each round have odds that don’t correlate with the NCAA’s seeding. I love when this happens. It’s like a fishy line in other sports and forces me to look closer at the game.
#8 UConn -5.5 vs. #9 Oklahoma
Yes, UConn is the higher seed and favored, but 5.5 is a pretty large spread considering the #8 vs. #9 matchup. For example, earlier today #8 Mississippi State was just a 1.5-point favorite over #9 Baylor.
UConn enters the tournament as two-time reigning National Champions.
The Huskies have a notable size advantage ranking 48th nationally in height. They average almost 36 points in the paint per contest.
Oklahoma has struggled defensively against larger teams allowing opponents to shoot 54.9 percent on two-point attempts and allowing 33 points in the paint per game.
UConn excels rebounding, especially on the offensive glass, averaging 9.7 offensive rebounds per game. Oklahoma ranks 324th in offensive rebounding.
Comparing the defenses, UConn ranks 68th in scoring defense allowing 68 ppg, while Oklahoma ranks 267th allowing 74.8 ppg.
MATT’S CORNER
🔥 BETTING TIPS FOR MARCH MADNESS
#16 Norfolk State vs. #1 Florida
Florida -28.5
Total 153.5
Florida has a tremendous three point defense and Norfolk State barely takes any yet there's some value on Christian Ings over 0.5 3's. The senior shoots almost 47% from long range and has made one three in 21 of 34 games.
#10 New Mexico vs. #7 Marquette
Marquette -3.5
Total 151.5
Marquette is allowing over 60% of the baskets scored against them to be assisted. That plays right into Donovan Dent who has a top 25 assist rate in college basketball. Dent's rebounding prop is interesting too as the number is 2.5 in a lot of places. He's gone under that in six straight and 20 of 32 games overall.
#9 Oklahoma vs. #8 UConn
UConn -5.5
Total 147.5
UConn is a very good rebounding team which is a huge advantage over the Sooners who are ranked 277th in both offensive and defensive rebounding percentage.
Matt Josephs - Mid Major Matt
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Ariel Epstein, known as the Prop Queen, turned her passion for fantasy sports and prop betting into a career. After years of working for other media companies and sportsbooks, it’s time to share her knowledge, preparation and analysis with other sports bettors.
