⚾️ 🏀 The Prop Queen Newsletter

There were a ton of day games in MLB today. I’m not thrilled the Shota Imanaga did not go over his 5.5 K prop. He only had four in five innings. There’s one other strikeout prop tonight that stood out to me. Plus, there’s a huge revenge spot in the NBA with Luka Doncic returning to Dallas for the first time since being traded to the Lakers. Some MLB and NBA prop analysis below. Good luck tonight!

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K Props To Watch

MLB Offensive Player Props

Lakers at Mavericks

Thunder at Suns

About Last Night…

Where the PQ Newsletter was RIGHT:

• The fishy line cashed with the Athletics upsetting the Padres 10-4. The A’s closed around +115 on the money line.

• Royals lefty Cole Ragans went over his 6.5 K prop owning the Twins yet again with 11 Ks in 6 IP.

• Rangers starter Patrick Corbin allowed over 4.5 hits and 2.5 runs in his season debut. He allowed five hits and three runs to the Cubs.

• Hornets small forward Miles Bridges went over his 5.5 rebounds prop with 6 boards against the Grizzlies.

• Cavaliers power forward Evan Mobley went over 19.5 points racking up 21 against the Bulls.

• Suns center Nick Richards went over his 7.5 rebounds prop with 9 against the Warriors in KD’s absence.  

Where the PQ Newsletter was WRONG:

• Draymond Green’s R+A props are dead thanks to Jimmy Butler. He only had 2 reb and 4 ast.

• Suns forward Ryan Dunn did not go under his 8.5 points prop without KD. He had 12 pts.

• Hornets center Mark Williams did not have a good game against the Grizzlies. He had 8 pts and 7 reb.

• As I mentioend above, Nick Lodolo is on my ban list. He did not go over 4.5 Ks fanning just three batters in six innings.

ARIEL’S CORNER

🎣 FISHY LINES

Braving the Braves

Phillies at Braves - 7: 15 PM ET

The Braves have been off to a rocky start, yet the public is thinking their win last night was a fluke. Another game where, “No way this struggling team beats the Phillies again!” The Braves beat the Phillies 7-5 last night. The line is moving in Atlanta’s favor again, despite the public looking for a Philly bounce back:

Phillies +108 ➡️ +116

61% bets 63% money

Braves -126 ➡️ -134

39% bets 37% money

The public also probably recognizes Taijuan Walker’s name more than Grant Holmes. Holmes owns a 2.45 ERA in three appearances last year against the Phillies.

As for Walker, he has a 5.40 ERA against the Braves in his career AND his career ERA is a 4.42 on the road (vs. 3.93 at home).

The bullpens are pretty even to start the season. Their ERA’s are middle of the pack. It’s Braves or nothing.

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