Hey subscribers!
Apologies for the delay. I was having issues with the site.
This is the FREE version of the Week 18 NFL Prop Cheat Sheet.
Below you’ll see every prop, every incentive, and every matchup note for Saturday’s two biggest games — but without the final answers filled in.
Why?
Because Week 18 is messy. Motivation, contracts, playoff leverage, weather, and coaching decisions all matter. If you want the answers with every prop filled out and all the data you need that’s what the paid guides are for.
👉 If you want the cheat sheet WITH the work already done for you, you can grab the full breakdowns here:
Panthers at Bucs – Win or Go Home Prop Guide
🔗 [Find It Here]Seahawks at 49ers – #1 Seed Prop Guide
🔗 [Find It Here]
Now here’s the FULL CHEAT SHEET 👇
(Nothing left out — just the raw board so you can decide if you want to do the work yourself or let me do it for you.)
🏈 CAR AT TB — SATURDAY 4:30 PM ET
Comparing Props to Playoff Incentives
CAR RB Rico Dowdle — Incentives
Needs 7 scrimmage yards to make $1 million
Needs 2 touchdowns to make $250K
Props:
Rico Dowdle 75.5 rushing + receiving (-110)
ORRico Dowdle over 1.5 touchdowns (+950)
TB WR Sterling Shepard — Incentives
Needs 1 reception to make $125K
Prop: N/A
Props to Watch
TB QB Baker Mayfield UNDER 20.5 completions (+100)
CAR: 10th least comp/game allowedTB QB Baker Mayfield UNDER 31.5 pass attempts (-118)
CAR: 9th least pass att/game allowedTB QB Baker Mayfield UNDER 18.5 rush yds (-113)
CAR: 4th least rush yds/game allowed to QBsTB RB Bucky Irving OVER 59.5 rush yds (-112)
CAR: 6th most rush yds/game allowed to RBsTB RB Rachaad White OVER 13.5 rush yds (-112)
CAR: 6th most rush yds/game allowed to RBsCAR QB Bryce Young OVER 19.5 completions (+100)
TB: 8th most comp/game allowedCAR QB Bryce Young OVER 29.5 pass attempts (-125)
TB: 9th most pass att/game allowedCAR QB Bryce Young OVER 199.5 pass yds (-126)
TB: 6th most pass yds/game allowedCAR QB Bryce Young OVER 20.5 rush yds (-110)
TB: 6th most rush yds/game allowed to QBsCAR RB Rico Dowdle UNDER 55.5 rush yds (-115)
TB: 7th least rush yds/game allowed to RBsCAR RB Rico Dowdle OVER 14.5 receiving yds (-130)
TB: MOST receiving yds/game allowed to RBs
🏈 SEAHAWKS AT 49ERS — SATURDAY 8:00 PM ET
Comparing Props to Playoff Incentives
SEA QB Sam Darnold — Incentives
Needs 3 TD passes to make $500K
Needs 150 passing yards to make $500K
Needs 67.5% completion percentage to make $500K
(Currently at 67.2%)
Props:
Sam Darnold over 1.5 pass TDs (-122)
ORSam Darnold over 2.5 pass TDs (+320)
Sam Darnold over 239.5 pass yds (-128)
Sam Darnold over 20.5 completions (-110)
Props to Watch
SF QB Brock Purdy OVER 22.5 completions (-109)
SEA: 7th most comp/game allowed (22.3)SF QB Brock Purdy OVER 33.5 pass attempts (-121)
SEA: 5th most pass att/game allowed (35.8)SF RB Christian McCaffrey UNDER 70.5 rush yds (-125)
SEA: 4th least rush yds/game allowed to RBs (37.6)SF RB Christian McCaffrey OVER 44.5 receiving yds (-115)
SEA: 6th most rec yds/game allowed to RBs (37.6)SF TE George Kittle OVER 20.5 longest reception (-125)
SEA: 5th most rec yds/game allowed to TEs (65.7)SEA defense 2nd least receiving yds/game allowed to WRs
SEA QB Sam Darnold OVER 20.5 completions (-110)
SF: 3rd most comp/game allowed (23.6)SEA QB Sam Darnold OVER 30.5 pass attempts (-102)
SF: 6th most pass att/game allowed (34.9)SEA QB Sam Darnold UNDER 5.5 rush yds (-135)
SF: 5th least rush yds/game allowed to QBs (13.4)SEA RB Kenneth Walker UNDER 50.5 rush yds (-112)
SF: 11th least rush yds/game allowed to RBs (88.2)SEA TE AJ Barner OVER 35.5 receiving yds (-118)
OROVER 15.5 longest reception (-118)
SF: 10th most rec yds/game allowed to TEs (59)
Final Note 💭
This is the map.
The paid guides give you the destination.
If you want the answers filled in — with the trends, context, and decision-making already handled — grab the full breakdowns here:
Premium subscribers get these guides at no extra cost.
Upgrade to premium today!
Ariel Epstein, known as the Prop Queen, turned her passion for fantasy sports and prop betting into a career. After years of working for other media companies and sportsbooks, it’s time to share her knowledge, preparation and analysis with other sports bettors.
