🏈 NFL Week 15 Prop Card: Sunday Afternoon Edition

Happy Sunday.

Week 15 gives us a full board of prop edges, especially in the early and late afternoon windows. I’m attacking this slate leaning into matchups, usage, and defensive tendencies that have been consistent all season.

Below is my full list of props for the 1:00 PM ET and 4:00 PM ET games, with quick reasoning so you understand the why, not just the what.

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ARIEL’S CORNER

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Ravens at Bengals - 1:00 PM ET

BAL QB Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing TDs -135

It’s been hard to trust Lamar these days, but seeing this defense twice in two weeks and without defensive end Trey Hendrickson, should make Lamar’s life a little bit easier. Even with Hendrickson this year:

• Cincinnati is allowing the 3rd-most passing TDs per game this season
• 62% of quarterbacks have gone over their passing TD prop vs. CIN
• Lamar has thrown 2 and 4 passing TDs in Cincinnati over the last two seasons

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