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🏀 NBA Injury Edges & Market Gaps
Injury impacts, matchup trends, and one best bet worth isolating - Dec 12, 2025
Hey everyone — below, free subscribers will find my best bet of the night in the NBA.
Quick transparency note: my best bets have lost twice this week, even though the rest of the newsletter has been profitable.
For premium subscribers, today’s newsletter focuses on how injuries are continuing to reshape the NBA slate. We’re identifying where production shifts with and without key players and highlighting market inefficiencies where splits and trends strongly point to value.
Make sure you’re subscribed to the Prop Queen YouTube channel for daily edges and guest picks. We’re live Monday through Friday from 5–6 PM ET.
Today’s show features Mid Major Matt breaking down college football bowl games, CFB playoff angles, NFL lookahead spots, and a quick look at the college basketball slate. Mr. Dream will also join to talk through tonight’s NBA props and tomorrow’s NBA Cup action.
ARIEL’S CORNER
🔥 A Best Bet for Free Subscribers
MIN C Rudy Gobert Over 9.5 Reb -126
Gobert has cleared this number in both games against Golden State without Draymond Green, finishing with 12 and 10 rebounds. He’s also recorded 12 or more rebounds in seven straight road games.
While he’s gone under in his last two overall, the home/road splits are important here. Gobert is averaging 11.3 rebounds per game on the road, compared to 8.9 at home.
Golden State allows the seventh-most rebounds per game, and without Draymond, that defensive gap becomes even more significant. This sets up as another strong rebounding spot for Gobert.
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