Monday Night Football isn’t just a standalone game — it’s a seeding game and chance for the Falcons to play spoiler at home (similar to the Browns yesterday).

🧠 Why the Rams Are Still Fully Locked In

This isn’t a meaningless late-season spot for LA.

If the Rams beat Atlanta and Arizona to close the season, they lock up the NFC’s 5th seed, which sets them up with a first-round matchup vs. the NFC South winner (Panthers/Bucs).

That’s a much better path than seeing Chicago or Philadelphia.

So yes — motivation is still there.

Before we get into the prop card, keep this in mind:

  • Falcons WR Drake London is QUESTIONABLE with a knee injury

  • His status matters a lot for target distribution

  • Atlanta is bottom 10 in receiving yards allowed to wide receivers, so if London plays (or if his targets get redistributed), that impacts multiple angles. If he’s out, look at Darnell Mooney or Bijan Robinson longest reception props.

Now let’s break this down.

📊 Market Snapshot

  • LAR -8.5 → -7.5

  • Total: 49.5

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MATT’S CORNER

🏟️ COMING UP THIS AFTERNOON

(2 PM ET): Mid Major Matt’s Bowl Thoughts

Birmingham Bowl

Georgia Southern (-9.5) vs. App State
Total: 58.5

Key notes:

  • Weather: Wind gusts could be a factor

  • Opt-outs / Transfers:

    • Georgia Southern is mostly intact

    • App State has 10 players in the portal, including:

      • QBs AJ Swann and JJ Kohl

      • Three starting defensive players

      • Starting WR Davion Dozier

    • Head coach says portal players could still play

  • Motivation:

    • App State went 5–7

    • Accepted the invite after several teams declined

    • Rematch of a 25–23 Georgia Southern win

  • Edges:

    • You can beat App State through the air

    • Georgia Southern prefers to attack on the ground

Verdict:
Nothing like a conference rematch at 2 o’clock on a Monday afternoon — but I can’t recommend anything here.

In theory, JC French overs make sense… but this is a pass.

Skip it, and get ready for a fun week ahead.

ARIEL’S CORNER

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