šŸˆ Mid Major Matt's Newsletter

CFB Betting Analysis December 5th, 2025

Let's take a look at Friday's conference championship games.

MATT’S CORNER

C-USA

7 PM ET
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State (+2.5) O/U 60.5 - This is a rematch of a 35-26 JSU win back on November 15th. Kennesaw State had nearly 600 yards of offense in the loss, but also threw four interceptions and allowed a late Hail Mary at the end of the 1st half. The Owls have won five one possession games this season while JSU is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games. This is a tough game to wager on for me so I'm probably going to pass.

MATT’S CORNER

Sun Belt

7 PM ET
Troy @ JMU (-23.5) O/U 46.5 - JMU learned on Tuesday night that their path to the college football playoff only happens if they win and Duke beats UVA in the ACC title game. They got good news that their departing coach Bob Chesney is going to stay on for this game and potentially more before leaving for UCLA. The Dukes are the way better team and they should win this easily if the squad is focused with all the swirling outside noise. It's going to be bitterly cold with a chance of precipitation. All this makes me lean to the under in this game. Verdict: Under 46.5

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