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CFB Betting Analysis November 13th, 2025

MATT’S CORNER

Troy @ Old Dominion (-11.5) O/U 52.5 - 7:30pm ET - This is a sneaky good game as Troy looks to keep themselves in the Sun Belt west division race. The Trojans have won five of their last six and are one game behind Southern Miss who they will see in the final week of the regular season. They are getting Goose Crowder back under center, but still plan to play Tucker Kilcrease as well. The Monarchs are pretty much eliminated from the East division race, but I still expect a motivated effort from the home team. Colton Joseph has been fantastic for ODU and I think his legs come into play here. Lunch Winfield, Brad Jackson and Bishop Davenport have all had success using their mobility vs. Troy and I expect Joseph to also do so. Verdict: Joseph over 63.5 rush yds (-114) Fanduel

MATT’S CORNER

FCS vs. FBS

Tennessee Tech @ Kentucky (-21.5) O/U 52.5 - light rain, but heavy wind
UK - Wildcats 4-5 on the season with a road trip to Vandy up next...Last year they beat Murray State 48-6 as 41 point favorites...5-6 ATS last 11 vs. FCS opponents (2-2 last 4 years)
TT - 10-0 on the season...Lost 32-25 to MTSU and 48-3 to Georgia last year in FBS games...Very good run defense
Verdict: Slight lean to the under here, but want more clarity on weather forecast before wagering. 

Matt Josephs, known as Mid Major Matt, specializes in niche markets throughout College Sports, MLB and NFL. Matt works in sports talk radio in Northern Virginia bringing years of handicapping and media experience to the newsletter.

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