Before we get into today's research — i have to tell you about a conversation that stopped me mid-interview.

Betting on yourself isn't always a choice you make — sometimes it's a choice that gets made for you.

That's exactly what happened to Kevin Roth.

🎙️ NEW EPISODE: Betting on Yourself

Kevin is — and i don't say this lightly — probably the most important person in sports betting that most casual bettors have never heard of.

Master's degree in Atmospheric Science from Mississippi State. 10+ years as an on-air TV meteorologist. He’s also the guy who spent 13 years at RotoGrinders essentially inventing sports weather analytics as a discipline.

He built WeatherEdge. He built OVERcast. He became the go-to resource for DFS players and sharp bettors who wanted to know not just what the weather would be — but what it actually means for the lines.

And then he got laid off.

In this episode he gets honest about something most people in this space never admit out loud:

"I was afraid enough that I wouldn't have done it on my own. I had the opportunity and I didn't take it."

We also get into the actual craft — and this is where it gets really useful for your betting research:

⚾ Why temperature matters MORE than wind in MLB and where bettors are leaving edges on the table right now in the middle of the season

🌬️ The wind speed thresholds that actually move the needle in NFL (and why cold weather is one of the most overrated public betting narratives)

🏟️ How every ballpark has its own micro-climate — and why the same weather in two different cities can mean totally different outcomes at the park

📊 How he used AI to build OVERcast with zero programming background — and what that means for anyone who thinks they're missing a technical skill to build something

and at the end — what he said about perceived safety nets and the people who are too afraid to leave them hit differently than i expected from a meteorologist 😂

▶️ [WATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW HERE]

okay. i need to talk to you about this contest because it's the biggest thing i've run and we are close to capacity.

here's the deal:

we've now run four Splash Sports survivor contests together and have given away money in two contests already! That’s $45k in a month to two people! This next contest is different. This is the biggest prize pool yet — $35,010 to the winner. One contest. One winner.

Here's how it works:

Every day you pick TWO MLB batters to get a base hit or better. You can't use the same batter twice. Stay alive longer than everyone else — you win.

$20 entry. $35K prize. Our BIGGEST winner yet.

AND there's a bonus: if you pick a batter the same day they hit for the cycle, you win a $10,000 Cycle Jackpot on the spot. single, double, triple, home run — same game. That’s GREAT money on a $20 entry.

We filled the last four contests. This one has 203 entries in and 1,945 spots total — but it's moving and as a subscriber you get first dibs before i push this everywhere else.

Contest starts Tuesday 4/28 at 6:10 PM. entry closes then.

▶️ [GRAB YOUR SPOT HERE — CODE: PROPQUEEN for first time entries]

Don't wait on this one. When it fills, it fills.

Go watch the Kevin interview and come back and tell me your favorite moment — I think it's one of the best conversations i've had on this pod so far.

Talk soon, Ariel 👑

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