Welcome to the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs!
Today’s newsletter is just regarding the two games on today’s slate — 4:30 PM ET Bills at Broncos and 8:00 PM ET 49ers at Seahawks.
All the research and info about the prop edges of the weekend are already in the Prop Guide, which is included in the premium subscription.
Today I will show you how each of these lines moved throughout the week.
I labeled green if they moved in favor of the Divisional Round Prop Guide & red if they moved against the guide.
🕟 4:30 PM ET
Bills at Broncos
Bills opened -1.5 and flipped to Broncos -1.5
Total 46.5
Here’s how the prop market moved throughout the week:
DEN RB RJ Harvey
Over 50.5 rush yds (-110) —> 53.5 rush yds (-111)
BUF RB James Cook
Under 77.5 rush yds (-110) —> 75.5 rush yds (-112)
Under 16.5 rec yds (-114) —> 14.5 rec yds (-115)
BUF TE Dalton Kincaid
Over 35.5 rec yds (-114) —> 37.5 rec yds (-112)
Over 17.5 yards longest rec (-118) —> 18.5 longest rec (-108)
BUF TE Dawson Knox
Over 2.5 receptions (+150) —> (+140)
Over 12.5 yards longest rec (-115) —> 13.5 yards longest rec (-110)
🕗 8:00 PM ET
49ers at Seahawks
Seahawks -7
Total: 45.5 → 44.5
SEA QB Sam Darnold (Oblique Injury)
Over 19.5 completions (+101) —> 18.5 completions (-115)
Over 28.5 pass att (-110) —> 27.5 pass att (-126)
Over 229.5 pass yds (-127) —> 219.5 pass yds (-112)
Under 6.5 rush yds (-105) —> 5.5 rush yds (-135)
SEA RB Kenneth Walker
Over 2.5 receptions (+195) —> (+168)
Over 11.5 rec yds (-115) —> 12.5 rec yds (-112)
SEA RB Zach Charbonnet
Over 10.5 rec yds (-110) —> 9.5 rec yds (-112)
SF RB Christian McCaffrey
Over 6.5 receptions (+119) —> (-118)
Over 47.5 rec yds (-110) —> 53.5 rec yds (-113)
Over 16.5 yds longest rec (-105) —> (-115)
SF TE Jakes Tonges
Over 35.5 rec yds (-114) —> 34.5 rec yds (-112)
Why This Matters
By the time you’re seeing these numbers now, the value is already thinner — and in some cases, gone.
That’s the difference between:
reacting to the board
and being positioned before it moves
If you want the full Divisional Round Weekend Prop Guide — with all of the edges identified — it’s available below for a one time purchase and no paid subscription required.
NFL Divisional Round Prop Guide
The Prop Queen Divisional Round Betting Guide is your edge for the most important weekend of the NFL season. This is a matchup-based, data-driven research guide that breaks down where defenses can ...
Ariel Epstein, known as the Prop Queen, turned her passion for fantasy sports and prop betting into a career. After years of working for other media companies and sportsbooks, it’s time to share her knowledge, preparation and analysis with other sports bettors.
