Hey — quick question before we dive in.

Are you betting Championship Weekend because it’s fun or because you actually want to be sharp?

Because this slate is different.

Fewer games.
Fewer props.
And numbers that are way tighter than a normal week.

This is the kind of weekend where guessing gets exposed fast.

That’s exactly why I built a Championship Weekend Prop Guide specifically for this spot on the calendar — when the board looks simple, but the edges are hidden.

The last two guides helped me go 11–2 on props, and not because I forced volume…
but because I removed plays that didn’t belong.

This guide isn’t about loading up your card.

It’s about better information.

I went matchup by matchup asking one question only:
Where does the data still give us an edge — and where should we stay away?

Inside the guide, I break down:

• How each defense actually changes player usage (not just season-long averages)
• Which trends do and don’t hold up in high-leverage games
• Where line movement matters more than raw stats
• A clean, streamlined view of the prop board so you’re not chasing noise

Think of it as a filter.

Instead of spending hours bouncing between tabs, trying to build a game script from scratch, the guide helps you:

• Eliminate props that don’t deserve a second look
• Lock in on the few spots that actually matter
• Build a card that makes sense before kickoff, not after

Premium subscribers already have this guide included — along with every future research drop, cheat sheet and breakdown I put out.

If you’re not Premium yet, you’ve got two options for Championship Weekend:

Either way, this is the cleanest research I’ll put out for the weekend.

👇 Get access to the Championship Weekend Prop Guide here

Good luck this weekend,
Ariel
The Prop Queen