Welcome to Day 2 of the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs!
Today’s newsletter is just regarding the two games on today’s slate — 3:00 PM ET Texans at Patriots and 6:00 PM ET Rams at Bears.
All the research and info about the prop edges of the weekend are already in the Prop Guide, which is included in the premium subscription You can upgrade today to get all future cheat sheets and guides included or you can get the Divisional Round Prop Guide with a one time purchase with 50% off TODAY ONLY (see below).
Today I will show you how each of these lines moved throughout the week.
I labeled green if they moved in favor of the Divisional Round Prop Guide & red if they moved against the guide.
Weather could play a factor today ⤵
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This guide has all of the edges identified — it’s available below for a one time purchase and no paid subscription required.
NFL Divisional Round Prop Guide
The Prop Queen Divisional Round Betting Guide is your edge for the most important weekend of the NFL season. This is a matchup-based, data-driven research guide that breaks down where defenses can ...
🕟 3:00 PM ET
Texans at Patriots
Patriots -3 —> -3.5
Total dropped from 41.5 to 40.5
Here’s how the prop market moved throughout the week:
NE QB Drake Maye
Under 225.5 pass yds (-114) —> 221.5 pass yds (-113)
NE RB Rhamondre Stevenson
Under 9.5 rush att (+100) —> 10.5 rush att (-110)
Under 37.5 rush yds (-110) —> 39.5 rush yds (-112)
Under 10.5 yards longest rush (-105) —> 11.5 yds longest rush (-115)
NE RB Treveyon Henderson
Under 9.5 rush att (+100) —> (-108)
Under 38.5/39.5 rush yds (-115) —> 36.5 rush yds (-112)
HOU QB CJ Stroud
207.5 Pass yds (-110) —> 213.5 pass yds (-112)
20.5 completions (-110) —> 19.5 completions (-110)
HOU WR Xavier Hutchinson
Over 26.5 rec yds (-110) —> 29.5 rec yds (-112)
🕗 6:30 PM ET
Rams at Bears
Rams -3.5
Total: 50.5 → 48.5
CHI QB Caleb Williams
Over 19.5 completions (+100) —> 18.5 completions (-120)
Over 32.5 pass att (-120) —> +102
CHI TE Colston Loveland
Under 55.5 rec yds (-115) —> 58.5 rec yds (-112)
PROPaganda (Recap)
BetMGM’s most bet on props of the day yesterday
Most bet props BUF-DEN
Jaleel McLaughlin Over 22.5 Rushing yards - LOSER
Bo Nix Over 25.5 Rushing yards - WINNER
Brandin Cooks Over 28.5 Receiving yards - LOSER
Khalil Shakir Over 5.5 Receptions made - WINNER
Curtis Samuel Over 6.5 Receiving yards - LOSER
Most bet props SF-SEA
Jake Tonges Over 34.5 Receiving yards - WINNER
Kenneth Walker III Over 57.5 Rushing yards - WINNER
Sam Darnold Under 221.5 Passing yards - WINNER
Zach Charbonnet Over 48.5 Rushing Yards - LOSER
Sam Darnold Under 36.5 Longest pass completion - WINNER
I’m still waiting on today’s most bet on props. Hopefully I’ll have them on today’s WagerTalk Last Call.
Ariel Epstein, known as the Prop Queen, turned her passion for fantasy sports and prop betting into a career. After years of working for other media companies and sportsbooks, it’s time to share her knowledge, preparation and analysis with other sports bettors.
